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dparklast Tuesday at 4:30 PM1 replyview on HN

> A full launch on F9 (with recovered S1) is estimated to cost $15M

Estimated by who? SpaceX charges 74 million for this. Nothing credible I can find indicates that SpaceX is running an amazing 80% profit margin on Falcon 9 launches.

> And here's the problem: you started from an emotional reaction and are trying to rationalize that.

No, your premise is “just launch the trash into space” and you’re hand waving away the complexity, costs, and danger.


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pfdietzlast Tuesday at 6:40 PM

SpaceX charges what the market will bear, and because they have no good competitor their profit margins can be very large.

Anyway, the number is from fairly old Musk interviews. Costs have likely decreased since then.

https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2026/02/spacex-falcon-9-true-c...

> No, your premise is “just launch the trash into space” and you’re hand waving away the complexity, costs, and danger.

At least I didn't trot out a string of obvious errors like you did.

When people do that, it's a strong tell they're engaging in broken thinking. What you did, I think, is believe something, then try to rationalize it. When your thinking reached a justification you liked you just stopped thinking (because, after all, thinking more could break the pleasing argument you just constructed, and that would feel bad).

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