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SwellJoetoday at 1:37 AM3 repliesview on HN

The good news (for you and most everyone other than the current leading AI companies), the gap between the SOTA and the near-frontiers is getting smaller every week or two. The leading Chinese models are only a few months behind now (GLM 5.2 tickles the tail of GPT 5.3 or 5.4 and Opus 4.6, according to benchmarks and the vibes among heavy users who've spent some time with it), where they were a couple of years behind a year ago.


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raframtoday at 3:16 AM

4.6 was released at the beginning of February, so if the Chinese models only "tickle its tail," that means they're >5 months behind.

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dansquizsofttoday at 4:41 AM

Another day, more cope on this subject from many posters on here...

Der_Einzigetoday at 5:23 AM

This is nonsense.

The gap between Chinese models and American frontier models is estimated at 10 months by Anthropic themselves, and it's growing.

China has no flywheel for long-form agentic traces like Claude Code and its telemetry over its userbase (no one uses the Chinese harnesses yet). Most Chinese models are forced to price themselves significantly below cost to compete with the huge demand for bootleg claude tokens, because they're that much worse.

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