logoalt Hacker News

brabelyesterday at 8:58 PM3 repliesview on HN

Even the most optimistic Russian does not think Russia will ever get beyond https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Novorossiya which is not much more than Russia currently occupies. You really think they will eventually march over Ukraine on to Warsaw?? That’s as likely as the exiled Chinese government in Taiwan taking over China.


Replies

nostrademonsyesterday at 9:58 PM

When the war started, it certainly looked like it. Russian soldiers were in Kyiv at one point:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Kyiv_(2022)

It was the failure of Russian logistics and the triumph of Ukrainian logistics that beat them back.

show 1 reply
essephyesterday at 10:50 PM

There have been rumblings of a Russian attack on Poland for awhile.

https://youtu.be/NVnbtbtgu2Y?is=2lMFmF2kQ0SXqIw0

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/07/03/russia-pla...

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/26/russia-provoca...

Polish news: https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/07/09/8043294/

---

The head of Poland's Foreign Ministry noted that he cannot comment on intelligence data but stressed that Russia has long been waging a hybrid war against Poland and France.

He said this involves cyberattacks on state systems, attempts to gather information on critical infrastructure using shadow fleet vessels, arson, sabotage on railways and drone attacks.

Sikorski also recalled that before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Russia allegedly prepared false flag provocations to create a pretext for starting the war. At the time, American intelligence warnings helped thwart those plans.

"Today you must believe us – not just me, but other countries too – that we have credible information that the Russians are planning something again. The purpose of these warnings is to discourage them from carrying out these provocations," he said.

French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot, for his part, confirmed that Paris is also recording increased Russian hybrid activity.

XorNotyesterday at 9:19 PM

Ukraine is keeping Russia where it is at a tremendous expenditure of people and treasure.

Their success in the conflict is not guaranteed.

show 1 reply