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RecycledEletoday at 10:25 AM4 repliesview on HN

I make this prediction: In 5 years, we will have learned that the red line was in error, and the temperatures will be in the bottom half of the graph.

I know this because every prediction of climate doom turned out to be false.

Entire nations were going to disappear under rising sea levels. It has not happened. I'm not saying no land sinks, but sea levels are not rising rapidly enough to prevent Al Gore (author of "An Inconvenient Truth") from buying an ocean-front home. The same applies to John Kerry and dozens of other outspoken prophets of doom who warned us that rising sea levels would submerge entire nations. They used the proceeds of their fear-mongering to buy oceanfront homes.

I remember signs in Glacier National Park telling us the glaciers would be gone by the year 2,000. It has not happened.

This "signal" too will pass.


Replies

anakainetoday at 11:12 AM

Others have corrected your confusion between prediction and observation. Lets instead show what we have already seen, today, that was previously predicted.

Kiribati and Tuvalu have measurable loss of land due to rising sea levels that is impacting people today. About 80% of the Maldives Islands will likely be uninhabitable within the next 25 years. The Marshall Islands have lost 18 out of their average 200cm above mean sea level height - roughly 6% of its land.

We have seen massive glacial retreat even in just the past 10 years, let alone the past 50. This is happening the world over, and at a rate that is not previously seen in the geological record (happy to argue this, thats my background). We are seeing large ice loss and lack of matching accumulation over Antarctica and Greenland - two great places to observe large scale processes. We just saw the Arctic stay largely unlocked for sea ice/shipping last season. The sum of these will take a moment to kick in, but the failure of conveyor currents will kick us all in the arse quite significantly and likely within our lifetime, and we have already seen hiccups.

zaiktoday at 10:28 AM

The red line is not a prediction, it is a measurement.

locknitpickertoday at 10:31 AM

You seem to be deep in denial.

These are not projections. These are measurements.

These are known trends from the past century. The trend is accelerating in what seems to be an exponential pattern.

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/...

We are experiencing record heat in northern Europe, with temperatures in line with what a couple of decades ago would be expected in north Africa during the summer.

Southern Europe is already experiencing massive droughts in major urban centers.

sethammonstoday at 12:22 PM

Glacier park had 150 glaciers in the mid 1800s. Today it has 26. No crisis to see: we still have nearly 20% of what we once had /s