I do wonder what type of AI some of these leaders expect to be able to harness. If you create something that is true AI, won’t it be smarter than you to a level you cannot fathom. I was thinking of this idea/though-experiment (which I know is ridiculous) of what if dogs created humans thinking they could control them, and then just wound up being pets because their survival now depended on that new hierarchy that previously didn’t exist.
Seems to be a lot of hubris with some AI thought leaders thinking control will remain with them and be absolute.
Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom is about this topic, quite a prescient read when it was published a decade ago.
Yes, this is the crux of the idiocy of AGI development. All the labs admit they don't have any real mechanistic interpretability, they don't really have any plan for what to do, except "we think the smart AI will figure it out" and "look we're in a race, we're calling on governments to figure out what to do". All indicators show scaling laws holding and the trajectory of capabilities development outpacing any inkling of alignment. Meanwhile HN is so reactionary and behind-the-puck these days we just get endless blathering of the most asinine takes of "they're not improving anymore so they want regulation suddenly!" when all lab leaders have been talking about these risks for practically a decade, including Yoshua Bengio and Geoffrey Hinton coming around.
Well dogs specifically have supplanted children in many households so one could argue the dogs won. In a selfish gene sense, the dogs created a machine that carefully ensures a much larger reproduction scale than could be managed by the dogs themselves. This is an unbridled success.
It doesn’t change the point, of course. Just the choice of dogs or cattle have this amusing tendency. Not a counter argument.