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ericmaytoday at 6:15 PM4 repliesview on HN

> The exit plan is to offload overpriced shares, that they paid billions for, onto the public market. If they don't IPO, those investors get nothing.

I keep seeing these unsubstantiated claims. They’re out to get us and just pump and dump on public markets!

Yet, before they IPO they have to go around and do what? Who sets the IPO price? Who buys the shares? If the shares tank, the valuation of the company goes down and locked up shares lose value. It’s not really in anyone’s interest for IPOs or investments to fail and while pump-and-dump schemes certainly exist they are not the norm. The conspiracy theory level of distrust and cynicism is not healthy and makes one a very poor investor.

If individual investors are buying shares and getting blown up, that’s their problem. Invest and due your own research. Broad market funds exist and have so for decades. Most financial advisors even will put you in to those funds and corporate 401k plans while increasingly allowing for more investment flexibility (freedom is good) default and educate employees by default on target date funds and index funds. There is a wealth of information out there.


Replies

csoups14today at 6:48 PM

> If individual investors are buying shares and getting blown up, that’s their problem. Invest and due your own research.

This is simply absurd. Of the investment banks that helped SpaceX IPO, Goldman Sachs has their price target at $205 (139x implied price to sales), JP Morgan at $225 (152x implied P/S), Deutsche Bank at $255 (173x implied P/S), Morgan Stanley at $300 (203x implied P/S), and Raymond James at $800 (542x implied P/S). It's the 1920s all over again; publicly pump and privately sell into the demand you're creating. I'm guessing you're perfectly fine with this behavior from the largest market participants?

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ceejayoztoday at 6:21 PM

> If the shares tank, the valuation of the company goes down and locked up shares lose value.

"Oh no, my $10B became $5B!"

They'll still be happy.

> If individual investors are buying shares and getting blown up, that’s their problem.

Having the general populace fleeced by bad actors is everyone's problem, eventually.

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lelanthrantoday at 6:23 PM

My point was that there is no ROI until the investors exit!

IMO, those shares are overpriced even at private investment levels, but my opinion is still irrelevant to the fact that there is no ROI until the investors exit!

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3848484894today at 6:24 PM

With a couple million dollars, you can buy many many articles on the financial times and barron's. With a couple friends, you can get other friends in pension funds to allocate into you. With other friends, you can get beneficial messaging from all sorts of public and private channels. Banks and funds can pump your offerings for something in return if you went to the right bar mitvah. Of course this only lasts for some time, but if Billy the boomer and the Korean teachers pension fund bought in, you are already half way there.

Information is only relevant in the long term, in the short term the stock market is about FRIENDSHIP.

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