logoalt Hacker News

rich_sashatoday at 7:21 PM2 repliesview on HN

It's worth adding that conventional wisdom says, you can't time the market. On average, people shifting between cash and stocks to time shocks lose out over just holding a fixed portfolio.


Replies

pid-1today at 7:33 PM

Absolutely 100% agree.

At the same time, one can make financial decisions based on risk rather than longterm expected returns.

For instance, I'm happy with fixed income yields rn.

What would scare me is losing a big chunk of my portfolio in a downturn, exactly when I'm also most likely to lose my job.

dborehamtoday at 7:26 PM

Sometimes conventional wisdom stops being wise. Also 90% of the people in charge of conventional wisdom have their personal wealth depend on retail investors not selling.