logoalt Hacker News

londons_exploretoday at 2:00 PM2 repliesview on HN

I don't see a future in which those bondholders don't get paid back.

The company has plenty of revenue, and if needed can just turn off the r&d tap and become a boring company. Terrible for the shareholders obviously, but the bond holders will be fine.


Replies

notahackertoday at 2:18 PM

This assumes that SpaceX's decision maker decides to prioritise cuts to repay bondholders over R&D to see if they can innovate their way to bigger profits, which doesn't seem a sure bet (tbh I'd put SpaceX under its current management very low on the list of companies likely to do this)

I mean the bond yield is 6.65% over US Treasury returns of 4.75% so it's not like everyone's running in fear of their imminent collapse either. But they're less confident than they were when Elon company valuations looked immune to gravity.

33hgtttoday at 2:40 PM

Another example of complete idiocy on this board.

Yep spacex can afford to have a declining value of equity… its talent who are mostly paid with stock will leave for its competitors - increasing the probability of bankruptcy. Putting the company in a tail spin heading for default.

So how are the bond holders gonna get paid in the event that happens? Oh in bankruptcy court? Lmao.

Raising equity is not a loophole either - ebit and ebitda drive measures of default risk.

Most of you on here should never ever talk about finance. It’s like you learned how to discount a cash flow and have it all figured out lololol