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tyretoday at 2:23 PM11 repliesview on HN

I'm not an investor in SpaceX but I don't think shorting stocks at IPO should be allowed. The market should be given time to settle on a price, and it's unlikely that anyone needs to short it on day 1 for hedging. It's purely price speculation.

Yeah, I know why people _want to_ (betting), but it doesn't serve a broader economic purpose.


Replies

reactordevtoday at 2:27 PM

Going long or going short is your bet on the market. If you can go long, you should be allowed to go short. Restrictions on any trading means you don’t have confidence in the price in which case it shouldn’t be available for trade.

tclancytoday at 2:24 PM

Betting is what everyone who jumped into retail investing and meme stocks does with it, but shorts are a valuable tool in the economy for hedging risk. It also is a good indicator for fraud too.

shermantanktoptoday at 2:52 PM

“Broader economic purpose”?

It’s all betting.

If someone wants to dress it up in jargon or talk about beneficial second order effects, they can. But if putting money on an outcome you can’t control isn’t gambling, I don’t know what is.

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lordnachotoday at 2:29 PM

To settle on a price, you need smart investors to be able to push it either way, which they need shorting and leverage for.

Plus there's option traders who naturally need to go short sometimes.

clickety_clacktoday at 2:54 PM

The market “settling on a price” includes the actions of short sellers.

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wredcolltoday at 4:17 PM

I'm not certain you're right, but I think this opinion deserves considerably more (fair) discusson than it's getting.

Lots of replies either personally benefit or just assume the "way things are" is the best, but the stock market has gotten highly abstracted from the original intention of providing capital to grow companies via means other than bank loans.

I get the argument that shorts and friends help make the price the stock is being sold at more accurate, and I believe there's some truth there, but also we constantly see stock prices fluctuate by 10+% in a single day and I have trouble believing the actual value of all these companies changed that much in a single 24 period.

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positr0ntoday at 3:16 PM

The market will more efficiently settle on a price if market participants can push the price up (buying) and push the price down (shorting).

8notetoday at 4:25 PM

the company manipulates itself to look its best possible, taking long term bad decisions in order to juice the value, and wont have more immediate items to juice the share price again for a while

its a reasonable expectation that 3 months after an IPO the price will be lower than it was at IPO

not really a bet so much as that on average the prices at IPO are a local maxima

toomuchtodotoday at 2:24 PM

Why is line go up price discovery acceptable, but line go down price discovery not? If the shares are trading, you should be able to short, it’s arbitrary to disallow it. It is quite literally a part of the market settling on a price.

(under the assumption your broker is managing their risk if your losses from a short position potentially exceeds capital available for liquidation if the trade moves against you)

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wat10000today at 3:23 PM

Borrowing and selling are both pretty straightforward financial actions. It seems strange to say you're not allowed to combine the two.

shafyytoday at 2:40 PM

Isn't it all speculation always though? That's why stock picking doesn't work and ETFs are popular.