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jdlshorelast Saturday at 12:54 PM1 replyview on HN

Bell curves are probability distributions. This is a time series, so it can’t be a bell curve. It just has the same shape.


Replies

khaliclast Saturday at 1:10 PM

Are you discarding the utility of Gaussian functions in analysis simply because the independent variable is time? A Gaussian curve can be used as a descriptive model without claiming that the observations themselves are a probability distribution

The fit does not prove causation, but it does show that the decline was already well described by a trend that began years before generative AI. If the claim is that 2023 created a separate structural break, it's different claim then the title describes