It's amazing how quickly Fable went from 'Game-changing model that needs to be banned' to 'Yeah it's alright, but OpenAI is also just as good and there are a couple of good open weight alternatives that are equivalent for almost everything'
The hype cycles are shortening, perhaps we really are reaching some kind of plateau this time (famous last words)
Fable is still the same model, it’s still a great model, and to be honest all these articles writing and speculating on how the LLM industry is going to evolve are not that insightful nor interesting.
I don’t think one should pay much attention to them.
The plateau is inevitable because their rapacious training methodologies are only viable when there are no defense in place, but information continues to evolve, which means the models will have to be continuously updated, but will be doing so with less and less freely available data.
Almost like the company has no credibility with respect to its safety claims.
Open-weight models were lagging 4 months behind OpenAI/Anthropic at the beginning of the year. They are now just 4-6 weeks behind.