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tracker1today at 7:03 PM2 repliesview on HN

Not to mention, physical limits to lithography are slowing down significantly... so tech will continue to evolve more slowly... it'll never be the jump from 1080-1990 again, for example, even though 1990-2000 was pretty close, 2000-2010 much slower and since 2010 slower still.

What's as or more weird is how much hardware is backordered, and how much live hardware is allocated, but waiting on facilities for operation. And how many facilities are years behind at this point already... all on various credit and dept swaps between all the involved companies... it's not just a balloon, it's a house of cards balanced on a balloon.


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chuckadamstoday at 9:15 PM

The process node size in William the Conqueror's time was really off the charts.

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cyanydeeztoday at 7:47 PM

supposedly, the next step is into fiber & optics.

but I generally agree, people put a lot of faith in the exponential leaps vs the exponential space.

You tell them we're not living on mars any time soon and they'll bring up christopher columbus.

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