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MattGrommeslast Thursday at 5:09 PM3 repliesview on HN

One of the big issues with this is sequence of returns risk. If you retire and rely on your portfolio but the market dives for a year or two right after you leave the workforce, your total portfolio value is screwed because you were selling at a low point.


Replies

Terr_last Thursday at 10:25 PM

Tangentially: I think a lot of people forget/underestimate the degree to which the industries behind their job are ones that they need to diversify away-from.

In other words, a programmer should invest a bit more away from software than average, a realtor should invest a bit more away from properties than average, a coal-miner should invest a bit more away from energy and mining, etc.

If you have your job, you can weather a stock-downturn, and if investments are solid, you can weather a period of unemployment by liquidating some, but if both hit trouble simultaneously then that's much much worse.

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rwmjlast Thursday at 5:22 PM

Which is why you keep 3-5 years of spending money in cash (or a bond ladder if you want to be fancy).

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bandramiyesterday at 3:11 AM

Which is why lifecycle funds move you into bonds gradually as you approach retirement age