logoalt Hacker News

simianwordstoday at 6:34 AM2 repliesview on HN

You seem wildly confident about the market, so I ask.

What market correction are you expecting and by when?

Can you make a falsifiable prediction without moving goal posts and ambiguous timelines?


Replies

erutoday at 6:35 AM

Or just show us your short position. :)

watwuttoday at 8:23 AM

> Can you make a falsifiable prediction without moving goal posts and ambiguous timelines?

I find this demand dishonest. The inherent nature of bubbles is that you cant predict when they pop. The more they grow, the more damage they cause, but it is impossible to guess what exactly triggers the pop.

So yes, ambiguous timeline is actually correct way to phrase things. Anything else is pure gambling.