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cheschiretoday at 1:54 AM1 replyview on HN

Random internet person says something that nobody is talking about. Gemini says random internet person is exaggerating the severity on most points.

I guess I’ll wait and see if someone provides citations because this feels like a nothing burger.


Replies

anigbrowltoday at 3:19 AM

We are talking about this, because we're discussing a model of oil price vs availability which includes modeling of national oil reserves. I'm pointing out that the popularly understood amount of US reserve levels somewhat overestimates the available cushion, and provided two different and easily verifiable reasons for considering it to be smaller than the headline number. I also specified that I was oversimplifying for the sake of brevity. I also indicated which assumptions and approximations were inputs in my heuristic.

You could easily ask Gemini to critically appraise each of these steps and get the detail you feel you're lacking; I know this because I employed it over the last few months to research this topic, but did so in piecewise fashion. Apparently you opted for the easier 'ctrl-V is this true' type of inquiry, which reflected your natural skepticism back toward you.