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raincoleyesterday at 11:52 PM2 repliesview on HN

Any research on the impact of AI would have been lagging indicators. It's not the researchers' fault[0], but the nature of a field moving at neck breaking speed. Remember there was a paper saying programmers were 20% slower with AI?

[0]: well...


Replies

jdlshoretoday at 12:46 AM

That early 2025 METR study was particularly interesting because participants self-evaluated themselves as 20% faster, but the measurements showed they were actually 19% slower.

All the reports of productivity since then are self-reported, or using questionable measures such as SLOC and PRs, so it’s reasonable to say that productivity improvements are still unknown.

Unfortunately, METR hasn’t been able to replicate the study because they couldn’t find enough willing participants.

ballsactoday at 12:15 AM

Well… what