We seems scarily only one rogue actor or screw up from WW III in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.
Hawe you been in coma? There has been a ww2 sized war in eastern europe for 4 years
That is the point of these "one offs".
My read on the situation is that Putin knows that he's stuck, and baiting nato into some (likely tepid) response gives him an excuse to expand the next call up / draft.
Don't we already have that? It's just a smoulder instead of a conflagration.