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vivzkestreltoday at 3:07 PM2 repliesview on HN

- in about 5 yrs of time, this is not going to age well

- massive studies ll come out on how 50% of the software engineers dont know or understand what they "generated" at all and how their critical thinking skills have taken a nosedive

- every major software company out there that is busy firing juniors now is going to run into the opposite problem: finding talented juniors and they ll command a hefty pay

- the whole LLM premise runs on one little assumption that they ll improve indefinitely. you are forgetting the law of diminishing returns

- i ll come back here in 5 yrs, this whole thing wont end well


Replies

embedding-shapetoday at 3:37 PM

I wonder if people said the same when compilers first appeared in the software development scene.

> the whole LLM premise runs on one little assumption that they ll improve indefinitely. you are forgetting the law of diminishing returns

To be honest, I think I'd remain happy if they just stayed at the level they are now, maybe bit faster and cheaper (and ideally more energy efficient), best would be to run it locally too, but I don't really need them to get "better" to make good use of them at this point.

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win311fwgtoday at 3:31 PM

Not since the advent of the compiler have most developers understood what is being generated. Their efforts have instead gone into validation (often manual, but sometimes automated) to see that what was generated works as expected as that is all that really matters to the business goals.

Which is still where the effort is going, although there does seem to be more interest in automated validation now, which is welcome progress.

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