FWIW, Peter Norvig also gave an updated take on what programming will look like with LLMs around 2 years ago. It did give me some hope back then, but with the development of Fables and Kimis and Sols I think it's truly anyone's guess where the art of programming will go.
What most miss today is DX - Developer Experience, many (most?) devs don't want to become Prompt Engineers.
Another thing is that not many can afford Fable or similar and I don't think prices will go down, since it is already heavily subsidized?