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eigenspacetoday at 4:15 PM4 repliesview on HN

This idea is based on the fantasy idea of "it's fine because the US can just inflate away its currency to reduce its debts". This is also often used as an argument for why countries shouldn't join the Euro because they'd be giving up an important tool.

The reality is that purposefully inflating your currency to reduce your debt burden is going to upset your creditors just as much as if you just defaulted on your debts, but will have the added affect of crippling your economy with inflation. Look at how much Americans freaked out over a year or two of 6% yearly inflation. How do you think Americans would respond to 30% *monthly* inflation like in Argentina or Turkey?

It's not like lenders won't notice if the USA tried to print its way out of debt.


Replies

ghastmastertoday at 5:04 PM

> It's not like lenders won't notice if the USA tried to print its way out of debt.

For historical context, this is exactly what happened when the US was on the brink of leaving the gold standard.

> From 1963 to 1966, France secretly implemented Operation Vide-Gousset to repatriate 3,313 tons of gold reserves from the Bank of England and the New York Federal Reserve. It took over 44 boat trips and 129 flights to export the gold back to the Banque de France. Since France converted its dollar holdings into gold, the French made out well when the dollar fell during the Bretton Woods period and lost 96% of its value against gold. France then withdrew from the London Gold Pool in 1966 after recovering its gold holdings to force the US to endure heavier losses.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/preciou...

theappsecguytoday at 4:47 PM

To be fair, it wasn't 6%. The consumer basket gets manipulated in all sorts of ways, but in general it's just not an accurate representation of day to day impact. Food and housing went up much much higher than 6%.

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8notetoday at 5:34 PM

they might be pissed off, but would lack standing to take land or something else instead. Ultimately you are fine, just without the ability to take on more debt. you get to keep your assets.

the scale of problem is much worse when Haiti was forced to pay France a debt for freeing itself of slavery. Having to produce physical goods and sell them is much harder than giving out paper or adjusting numbers

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chasd00today at 4:35 PM

currency manipulation seems to be working for China though.

https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sm751

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