It can definitely plan such things. Because agentic systems don't have to output a book all at once. The mainstream still lives 1-2 years in the past.
Agents can plan out a narrative draft, write it out section by section, maybe out of order, then tweak it, plant clues if it wants to, then trigger it in another chapter file etc. Then read the whole thing, reconsider, etc. It can iterate. I'm not saying it will be great literature, but the problem isn't the inability to create long range references.
My bigger point would be this: arguing from such mistaken technical ideas, when not having any idea about the tools is a sign that people's real problem is none of those technical limitations, but Western culture has lost the vocabulary to express their true sentiment. They are grasping for words but can't reach for "soul" and other religious terms because that would sound ridiculous in a secular modern world. But they clearly want to express that and we'd be ahead if we could discuss in such actual terms. Would you want the machine to write literature if, hypothetically it could write indistinguishably from any great writer? I guess not. Because there is something mysterious and important about the human spirit. (the same vocabulary-inaccessibility is plaguing other culture war issues too). People will rather talk about fake water consumption problems than touch the topic of the human soul or spirit.
I tackle these ideas/questions head-on using Claude to help book-shape the result. https://spine.zice.app/jeremy/the-smaller-infinity In my view, the accumulating density of useful language/token patterns is the real story, not who/what is processing them. There is no "why" other than the universe's physics permit such accumulation, but that doesn't make the "how" any less interesting. You can click the header and copy the whole thing to clipboard, ask your favored agent for summary/conversation.
> Would you want the machine to write literature if, hypothetically it could write indistinguishably from any great writer? I guess not.
I sure would. If you want a religious tone to it… It would be a signal suggesting that the human spirit(tm) had finally transcended.
If humans can someday build a machine that can truly carry a (trans)human mind, and let some future souls live unconstrained by all the quirks and limitations of our preexisting biology, exercising more control of their own lives - that’d be wonderful.
I obviously have no idea wherever language models can lead to such dream, of would be a dead end.
What are you talking about… You can use the word soul without believing in a religious concept of soul. It’s done all the time in secular societies. It’s even a very common term used to describe the problem with LLM generated content, that it lacks soul or human spirit, it lacks the human meaning, intent
> but Western culture has lost the vocabulary to express their true sentiment. They are grasping for words but can't reach for "soul" and other religious terms because that would sound ridiculous in a secular modern world
Ironic to implicitly accuse Stross of this; as I recall, he's one of the voices describing The Singularity as Christian Eschatology/Book of Revelation/the rapture for atheist nerds.
> Would you want the machine to write literature if, hypothetically it could write indistinguishably from any great writer? I guess not.
One of his own paragraphs explains his non-financial perspective and reason:
I may not have quite the level of obsessive desire to write as he has, but I have some, and it is different from the desire to simply consume someone (or some*thing*) else's work.Without criticism, he is also clearly upset about the economic impact this will have on him (he says specifically he is "one of the parties to the settlement in the class action lawsuit against Anthropic AI for pirating ebooks to train their LLMs" and "train an LLM that is intended to compete for revenue with the authors of the works they stole"). Writing is not a high-earning job (with the exception of a few superstars who may as well be lottery winners), and he has written in support of very long copyright durations that can be inherited.
> People will rather talk about fake water consumption problems than touch the topic of the human soul or spirit.
For a living, he writes about Cthulhu and their ilk doing mind control; I want to say I don't think this would put him off, but if it did he'd hardly be the only professional author who can write a fictional story about something without being able to apply such ideas to rhetoric. (He'll hate being compared to Rowling here, but consider how Rowling hates trans people while her fiction has a variety of shape-shifting spells).