This fund returned 47% in its first 6m and over 400% prior to the downturn.
I don't understand how the investors didn't realize this was going to blow up. Returns like that are not asymmetrical and can only be produced with leverage, at least when you're trading paper.
When something is inevitable and there is a large enough position, this makes adversarial attacks likely. Every small drop causes an amplified amount of pain to the investor which causes them to liquidate positions furthering the decline. SA doesn't have the history or relationships yet to endure margin calls.
I don't see the edge these companies have when they're just going long a very particular position, namely anything related to AI. Long term value in finance is made in a couple of ways. For instance, relationships & being able to source deals (lots of PE firms), short term trading infrastructure and knowledge (Renaissance), capital and clout to make favorable deals (Buffet), etc. Even then the skills are fleeting as employees leave taking knowledge and companies raise money to compete.
Buying Nvidia on leverage is not a long term strategy. Especially when all your investments are common stock and obvious.
>This fund returned 47% in its first 6m and over 400% prior to the downturn.
>Returns like that are not asymmetrical and can only be produced with leverage
This is simply untrue. Just because the path to doing so is much more clear in hindsight doesn't mean it wasn't possible.
Sandisk is still up 110.82% in the last 6 months, and that's after a drawdown that's now approaching 50% from peak. Over the last year, they're up 2730%, and again, this is after the drawdown. Zero leverage.