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5555watchtoday at 9:25 PM1 replyview on HN

They're simulating randomness incorrectly: relationship between true and perceived will average 0.5, not 0; and bias will average 50%, not 0%. That's why their "random data" is sloped.

Add negative relationship and negative bias, and the random data will act as intended - hovering randomly around 50%.


Replies

algoth1today at 9:28 PM

They, themselves, show the Dunning-Kruger effect by overestimating how much they understand randomness