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arjietoday at 4:20 AM2 repliesview on HN

Haha 1T on $50k might be a bit hopeful, mate, even at FP8. But I too am hopeful.


Replies

apimadetoday at 5:09 AM

8800 GTX in 2006. Cutting-edge, an insanely powered consumer card for the time. Theoretically around 0.3456 TFLOPS.

1080 GTX in 2016. Cutting-edge, an insanely powerful consumer card for the time. Theoretically around 8.87 to 8.9 TFLOPS.

5090 RTX in 2026. Cutting-edge, an insanely powerful consumer card for today. Theoretically around 104.8 TFLOPS.

In the same timeframe mobile processor CPU's went from 0.001 TFLOPS, to today's Apple's A19 Pro chip which delivers 2.074 TFLOPS.

That's _without_ getting into ASIC's, or purpose-built hardware like Taalas's model on silicon HC1, or generic AI dies like what they're planning with HC2 or Cerebras, which will massively compress the timeline.

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hedoratoday at 4:27 AM

AMD already demonstrated 1T on strix halo clusters. << $10K at original MSRP.