I don’t know. LLMs are plenty often wrong, and some people seem to love them.

His predictions don’t matter… what matters is the thesis and what it is based upon. Literally nobody can predict to the month or even year when a bubble will pop. But you can identify and document that a bubble exists, and what the actors are doing.

When reading an article you’re supposed to analyze the actual thesis, not just evaluate if the person is an oracle or not

> In most jobs such a poor track record would be disqualifying.

Economists have entered the chat.