> This result is some evidence that AI will not solve RH soon. If there were any easy solution hiding in plain sight then it probably would have found it.
There's no way you can conclude that. Yes, "Fable 2" or whatever this was probably won't. But we can't know what Fable 3/4/5/etc will be able to do.
If anything, if we have 1 or 2 more years of progress like the last 12 months, which have been insane, I'd say LLMs are likely to solve it.