alt Hacker NewsThat's exactly what Anthropic said was going to happen!
Their big bet is that models are going to keep getting sharply better, not that they're going to quickly reach a plateau of quality that they can then defend.
That's exactly what Anthropic said was going to happen!
Their big bet is that models are going to keep getting sharply better, not that they're going to quickly reach a plateau of quality that they can then defend.
They will get sharply better in tasks with verifiable domains... math and coding
Gradually the labs will start engineering verifiable sandboxes for wider domains like videogames
This strategy will hit a plateau in about 18 months and then we're back to diminishing returns and incremental progress along other dimensions (like accelerated inference using ASICs)