alt Hacker NewsIts not an old idea at all. Its from a 2012 article by Graham Alison followed by a 2017 book on the rise of China specifically that Xi Jinping read and referenced.
Its claimed to be an old idea, but its actually only recently become popular
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lordgrenville • today at 1:32 PM
If you want to be pedantic, it actually dates back to 1980, in a talk at the Naval War College https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thucydides_Trap
You are right. Thank you for correcting me. It never ceases to amaze me just how much I can be confidently mistaken about.