Our Reality Is Shifting and It's Just the Start

Fairly vapid article offering little additional insight than what you’ll get by reading AI booster hn accounts.

- please rename your substack from signal and chaos to signal and noise but unfortunately noise is all i see

- i went through your list of posts and there is nothing but one opinion after the other with no hard facts to back any of the claims

- i see what you guys are doing there and even here on HN "riding the AI wave"

- honestly i would appreciate if someone could give far more balanced takes with actual facts to back them up

- your point "ai is accelerating....." explain to me how the same architecture transformers is accelerating? infact after the leading frontier labs pull all their gimmicks in this year and maybe the next, they are going to run out of gas unless they invent a new architecture

It doesn’t seem like AIs are accelerating at all if you ask me. We seem to be plateauing. Smaller and open weight models are catching up to the closed weight frontier models on benchmarks. If AI labs were able to use the smartest models to accelerate their development, the likes of OpenAI and Anthropic would be accelerating away from their competitors. But no such thing is happening. The focus has shifted from intelligence to cost and speed.

The breakthroughs in mathematics are impressive. But it doesn’t feel that different from what machine learning has done with Chess, Go and protein folding. They’re finding patterns in our systems and in nature. That’s what they’ve always been good at.

The reality shift: why is there no food

> So let’s go with the 5%. Or, in plain English: we pretty much don’t have a clue about how the world really works.

World is not same as the universe. We may not know about 95% of the stuff that makes up universe, but that doesn't mean we don't know much about our world. World is what matters to us as earthlings. We knew a lot about what's available to us - resources, information etc.

Once all reality is copmpressed i wonder what the end game is.