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windexh8ertoday at 7:10 PM6 repliesview on HN

When NVidia unravels from the current state of the market I'd gather it's going to be a phenomenal source of data to study with respect to the questionable economics propping all of this up today. Curious if Jensen actually believes he's going to outrun this train or if he thinks that spreading his chips out keeps him from a worse demise.


Replies

Alive-in-2025today at 7:47 PM

Yes. All these companies making "investments" in each other, where company A puts 10 billion into company B and company B buys 10 billion of company A's products can't work out well in the end. This is separate from the concept that AI has real value. Pointing out the likely doomed to fail huge mutual investments is a separate issue. We can have two ideas in mind about something.

I am worried about the damage when this ends. Sure, there's way over exuberance in my opinion about the value of all this vast amount of spending and infrastructure (datacenters, billions or trillions more in training hardware from nvidia etc). But there's this other completely bonkers level where it's just normal to give some billions for some stock and they turn around buy billions of your stuff.

This has to run into reality at some point.

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chermitoday at 9:40 PM

Have you actually looked at p/e and forward p/e? Why do people insist nvidia is overvalued?

Keyframetoday at 8:00 PM

at this valuation there's literally no other option than to spread it around. it's literally the only sane move. otherwise it would not only take balls of steel but also board's approval.

Ekarostoday at 7:49 PM

I wonder how much Jensen has managed to liquidate. For me currently obvious strategy would be to pump things as high as they can while unloading stock holdings as is possible without looking too bad.

throw1234567891today at 7:49 PM

It’s funny watching people trip over NVIDIA name. So many keyboard gymnastics.

They do what everyone in their position would do. What matters are the boxes leaving the warehouse. Dozens of thousands of them.

thegrim33today at 8:49 PM

For all the young people - you can find near exact clone copies of this comment every day, every month, from the last 20 years. Different poster each time, different company name each time, always the same great doom and gloom predictions. They're even remotely correct maybe 0.01% of the time. Heck, half of the time lately they're not even authentic people posting their thoughts, often they're foreign agents using the internet and anonymous communication to intentionally spread fear, uncertainty, and doubt about a rival country's economy, to weaken it.

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