Copy/paste of a comment I posted a couple months ago:

I am not trying to make any excuses for GitHub, however I recall one tweet that made my eyes bug-out:

> Yup, platform activity is surging. There were 1 billion commits in 2025. Now, it's 275 million per week, on pace for 14 billion this year if growth remains linear (spoiler: it won't.)

> GitHub Actions has grown from 500M minutes/week in 2023 to 1B minutes/week in 2025, and now 2.1B minutes so far this week.

https://x.com/kdaigle/status/2040164759836778878

https://xcancel.com/kdaigle/status/2040164759836778878

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edit: see a counterpoint I posted down-thread.

Their infrastructure is buckling under increased demand from AI generated code.

Imagine the software development lifecycle is a river blocked by several dams- necessary processes that also slow the water’s volume and speed. Writing the code was a very big dam upstream, and successive dams didn’t need to handle a lot of water. With that dam busted wide open, the torrent of code is inundating downstream processes. GitHub happens to host many of them.

Earlier this year the GitHub COO shared a post on Twitter with explosive numbers they were facing. I cannot seem to find it at the moment. (Edit: shared in other replies to this thread.)

I think the most charitable theory is that they're seeing rapidly growing usage (more users churning out higher volumes of code, via LLMs), and are struggling to scale to meet demand.

Alternative theories include "azure sucks" and "they're vibecoding everything now".

They say it's the skyrocketing load because of AI tooling

Many people suspect it's the year-long migrating to Azure and all their products instead of the things they have been using.

People will say LLMs but the issues with GitHub long predate LLMs. It all started when Microsoft acquired them.

Github's, COO Kyle Daigle, claimed that the number of commits has increased 14x since last year. So shear scale has something to do with it. I don't know of too much software already operating a planetary scale that could easily absorb a 14x bump in a year.

Microsoft bought it, https://damrnelson.github.io/github-historical-uptime/

The CTO discussed it a few months back: https://github.blog/news-insights/company-news/addressing-gi...

Totally not because of their movements to Azure.

AI-Agents are hammering GitHub.

Whatever the actual increase in productivity may be, the commits, clones, pushes, action runs, etc. are skyrocketing.

Lately? GitHub has always been bad with downtime. It hasnt got worse just more visible as people do more CI now than before.

Its all vibes man

Microsoft simply can not make software anymore. I worked at S&P Global and when you work at a global-mega corp, you quickly see why they lose the ability to create anything and just acquire companies to grow.