logoalt Hacker News

dlubarov08/18/20266 repliesview on HN

I don't love this either, but at least it's a short-term economic quirk. At some point fabs will figure out what the long-term demand looks like and scale up production accordingly.


Replies

nomel08/18/2026

> it's a short-term economic quirk

Not with the memory cartel that exists right now. They're more than happy to keep things exactly as they are, with lawsuits flying [1].

[1] https://www.rainintelligence.com/blog/dram-price-fixing-laws...

show 1 reply
TheOtherHobbes08/18/2026

It could be a medium/long term political quirk, because as long as RAM and GPU prices stay high the BigCos maintain a monopoly on non-trivial AI compute, and personal AI can't happen.

I still can't work out if data centre mania is an irrational faddy bandwagon event or a covert socio-political monopolisation strategy.

m4rtink08/18/2026

Or rather creditors scrapping AI datacenters once all the money burning "AI labs" are finally insolvent & repurposong the hardware into something actually useful for people, possibly on chip level with custom PCBs.

john01dav08/18/2026

This doesn't imply that it will settle at the same or lower price as before though.

a2ff6eeb008/18/2026

Fabs take multiple years to spin up, so expect it to last probably 3 to 5 years.

Yizahi08/18/2026

Aaaand, then watch prices continue rising regardless.