logoalt Hacker News

adventuredtoday at 4:08 AM4 repliesview on HN

Taalas will be one of the great disaster investments of the early AI era. It'll be a near total write-down.

The absolute worst market time to etch a model to a chip is right now (very rapid iteration). There is no scenario where they can keep up. The Taalas approach will be viewed as comically foolish within just a few years.

Cerebras will win in terms of approach.

It's 1998: hey, I can drastically speed up your web service, let's etch it right to silicon.


Replies

NitpickLawyertoday at 5:21 AM

> The absolute worst market time to etch a model to a chip is right now

Slightly disagree. It really depends on the price-point at which they can do that etching. ~1k usd / ~30B model in a hdd-sized case that fits on your desk? I'd buy one right now, even knowing that I'm "stuck" with whatever model of the day is.

show 1 reply
pimeystoday at 5:16 AM

I just want to but hardware so I can run a model at home that is fast. I don't see myself installing a server that burns almost two hundred kilowatts but maybe a card which runs a 27B Qwen...

alightsoultoday at 4:51 AM

maybe AMD wants the IP to deploy it once ai model development slows down in a few years. Or, their large cloud customers do want to burn through silicon, basically paying rent to AMD for models etched on silicon.

moralestapiatoday at 4:35 AM

It's 2026: let's etch nginx into silicon and get 10,000,000 rps at a cost of 0.1 US/day.

Yes, please!

show 1 reply