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estearumtoday at 4:03 PM2 repliesview on HN

You're misinterpreting data here. You are conflating the fact that the clinical trials didn't measure infection/transmission (which is very hard to do in a clinical trial) with the distinct claim that they didn't reduce transmission in reality.

The vaccines were extremely effective at reducing transmission during the first waves of COVID, where such an intervention was most valuable. And due to viral growth dynamics, even small reductions in transmission yield big net outcomes.

50% - 70% reduction in transmission: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2116597

Later waves made the vaccine much less effective at reducing transmission, but still highly effective at reducing hospital utilization which is (despite your snarky aside), extremely valuable. Fatality rates doubled when ERs hit full capacity.


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ifyoubuildittoday at 7:10 PM

All I'm saying is if you sum up the time (between vaccine release and today) that a person was strongly protected from covid infection and transmission, it's a relatively small portion of that time.

Thats my pushback against gp's argument that you have to give this thing to your young kids to protect me.

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dosiskingtoday at 4:16 PM

You're ignoring reality here. Everybody knows that the vaccines did not prevent transmission. The masks were far more effective at preventing transmission.

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