I think it’s an oversimplification to say that using AI for se dev is a trivial skill. You can see it even now with some people chatting with Claude and others running multiple agents in a loop. There’s skill in that.
> There’s skill in that.
Yeah, but it's a trivial skill that the people who learned it took maybe a week to learn it.
Unless LLMs never improve, the odds are good that even less time would be needed to get up to speed in a 2030 SOTA.
I mean, the whole reason for LLM usage is to produce something with little to no skill needed. That's literally what they are designing it for.
So it's unlikely that having a headstart using LLMs leads to any advantage.
But I agree that now it’s something people can catch up. The point is that I think it will make a difference if you’re someone that never coded manually vs someone that is (un)learning after having a full career pre-AI. Is not much different that people who started working with computers and others who had to learn how to deal with them late in their career.