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mdjxjdidntoday at 4:13 PM4 repliesview on HN

and then it copies a solution from somewhere (with your expert guidance that you're discounting for some reason) and you write a blog post about how smart it is and the fake price you paid since Claude Max is still selling $200 for $1

this won't be the same story when SoftBank and Oracle go under, the compute is no longer subsidized, and the same experiment costs _literally_ $26000 based on analyst estimates of the real opex

security groups at big orgs can swing that kind of price but most of us won't and that customer base won't be enough to sustain the labs, all that's ever going to be left is niche uses of open weight models IF anyone can afford to continue to train them so they don't become immediately out of date

we'll see


Replies

benlivengoodtoday at 4:28 PM

The actual rooting work in the article was done on open-weights models through OpenRouter. That would require global coordination to shut down.

zweifusstoday at 4:24 PM

My gut feeling says to not trust this analysis (off by at least a magnitude). Care to share a link so I can be certain?

show 1 reply
sunaookamitoday at 9:33 PM

Just two more weeks!

baist0today at 7:10 PM

"analyst estimates of the real opex" interesting! any links?