alt Hacker News> you might find the quality subpar, but in terms of cost ratio, it is commercially good enough. Business will accept 99.99 at fraction of cost of 99.999.
What is this based on?
Replies
It is based on Anthropic Uptimes. If anthropic wanted 99.999 they will have to acquire 10 times more GPUs/infra to match the traditional free resources of 99.999 services.
Personally, based on over a decade of professional software engineering experience at all sort of organisations, from small startups, Government, big tech, financial services of all scale.
In terms of literature, you can look into "enshiftication" as a starting point into research around cost savings and value extraction in business.
Also, about 7 years ago, I had some ideas about how AI will pan out, and here is the releveant excerpt from it:
> [S]oftware development industry, the very workhorse of automation and tools of efficiency is eating itself away. The outward image may look very different with the software development becoming an integral part of more and more industries, yet, the number of developers required for a project of given complexity is reducing at unimaginable rate.
https://gist.github.com/omeid/9a180f9acccc8409d6c5f3e7fa1a77...
Nothing, this is pure speculation. Nobody knows how this is going to pan out - definitely not this guy.
It might turn out AI does all programming in future. But it also might turn out that it's incapable of long term maintenance. We don't know yet.
Now that there are many models on par for most day to day coding tasks, I think this will prove to be a complete fallacy. If anything, since LLMs, my tolerance for bad software has gone down.
Example- I'm no longer a Claude subscriber, but in the past it was the only game in town. Not any more: I'm simply done dealing with the countless issues in their client. With Pi, I'm no longer sitting there like an idiot slamming the enter key because ask_user_questions is broken again and I have to force quit the application (just to mention one of the countless issues). Hoping my org switches away from Claude too...