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NitpickLawyertoday at 6:52 AM2 repliesview on HN

I'd say in reality it's way more than that. The first statistics course in uni was a very humbling experience. I realised that while I thought I understood a lot (and I was coming from a CS heavy background, olympiads and such) real statistics is way harder and a lot more counterintuitive than I thought. Granted, this talks about "basic" statistical understanding, but even that is way more complicated than most people assume.


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NoboruWatayatoday at 8:21 AM

Yeah. Like most people, my only experience of statistics is studying as part of maths in secondary school. I was really strong in maths generally and most of it came relatively easily to me, but I struggled with statistics. Examples like the Monty Hall problem show just how unintuitive the basic concepts are.

Given how effective stories and anecdotes are in convincing people, it really seems like the human brain is not wired to grasp these concepts easily.

bbeonxtoday at 7:10 AM

yeah, i've studied a lot of math and a lot of cs, and stats is tough. part of the problem is the terminology, and just giving a ton of complex machinery without telling you what it's actually doing. i've never learned that way, and it is very easy to feel like you're doing some sort of dark magic.

also, probability theory vs statistics is an important distinction: prob theory is a nice clean mathematical subject, while statistics is almost the philosophy of applying probability theory to the world.

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