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LandRtoday at 9:20 AM1 replyview on HN

I was having a conversation with my dad about how if a virus had a 10% death rate it would be terrifying.

His reply was that 10% was nothing, that means you've got 90% chance to survive. Then said you've probably got a 10% chance of being hit by a bus every time you cross the road. Just absolutely no idea what probabilities are at all or ability to extrapolate probabilities from real world lived experience.


Replies

dgellowtoday at 10:22 AM

> His reply was that 10% was nothing

Ask him how many times he would roll that dice

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