alt Hacker News> We don't really know where the capability ceiling of the current approach is
We do know, that the ceiling is below AGI. And it's not a matter of opinion - LLMs can not achieve AGI due to their design. Anyone telling you otherwise is lying to you.
And it doesn't matter how many or how severe bugs they can find, because it's not about what they produce, but how they produce it.
> We do know, that the ceiling is below AGI. And it's not a matter of opinion - LLMs can not achieve AGI due to their design.
[citation definitely needed]
> And it doesn't matter how many or how severe bugs they can find, because it's not about what they produce, but how they produce it.
AGI is defined by the practical outcomes, not by the way the outcomes are achieved. You have no way to know that scaled-up Transformers predicting the next token will never result in human-level intelligence, since we currently have no idea where the ceiling of that approach is.