The graph of the engine efficiency vs number of horses per person at the end doesn't fit IMO. I am tired of people trying to make these analogies between the following transitions:
- Horses to Engines
(non-deterministic to deterministic)
- Assembly to Higher-Level Language
(deterministic to deterministic)
- Higher-Level Language to LLM Prompts
(deterministic to non-deterministic)
These things are not the same. They are all fundamentally different transitions.
I think the last point isn't quite the same as the others. A proper comparison would be a human programmer to an LLM prompt. Both of those things are non-deterministic (people get sick, get stuck on things, have bad days) that produce deterministic things (code).
I'm not an AI fanboy and am trying to figure this all out for myself but I do think the framing of a shifting landscape is apt. The difference is that LLMs are (maybe? probably?) going to revolutionize just about every white collar sector.