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Iceland votes on whether to restart talks on joining EU

274 pointsby toshtoday at 11:39 AM331 commentsview on HN

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ekiddtoday at 11:59 AM

> The No campaign fears losing control over Iceland's prized fishing grounds under the EU's Common Fisheries Policy and has vowed never to share the country's waters with anyone. Brussels has indicated Iceland could earn some kind of exemption, but it is considered potentially the biggest obstacle to any agreement.

As noted in the article, Iceland's fishing industry makes up something like 40% of their exports. Which is the only way a tiny island nation can afford essential imports. On top of that, Icelandic fishing is apparently carefully regulated to prevent overfishing, with the result that it is supposedly one of the few truly profitable fisheries in the world.

So maintaining control over their own fisheries may be a survival-level issue for Iceland.

On the other hand, they have a tiny population, no ability to defend themselves, and membership in the fraying NATO military alliance. So I can see why they're debating this issue. Aligning themselves more tightly with Europe doesn't fix their problems, but I can also see not wanting to go it alone.

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saevaromtoday at 1:35 PM

I run the count at one of the constituencies. We have about 42.000 people on the electoral register and we'll probably see about 75-80% turnout, so we're going to be counting about 33.000 votes with about 30-35 people on staff, 24 of them doing the actual counting.

For the interest of the HN crowd, here is the technical report:

You'll find that the Icelandic voting system is very low tech.

The electoral registry for each local precinct is printed out and each voter is marked as having voted by hand. Three copies are made and three independent staffers make their own marks in their copy. These registers then come with the ballots to the count site to possibly exclude absentee ballots.

We use a paper ballot, marked using a pencil. Votes are counted by hand using a system of double counting and verification. Numbers are checked and cross checked throughout the process.

The count is added and checked in an Excel sheet and then reported by telephone or sometimes live broadcast to the media. Official reporting is usually via custom reports in Excel to the national electoral commission.

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alasanotoday at 4:50 PM

If in any way this allows me to import Icelandic hot dog sausages to Canada, it's a step in the right direction.

Last time I paid something like 25$ per hotdog (w/ buns & toppings) to import them from some guy and it could have gotten seized. Worth every penny though.

bluegattytoday at 12:47 PM

These debates are hard to watch. 'Loss of sovereignty' for some reason is perfectly fine for Iceland, Switzerland and Norway, but not UK or others wanting to leave.

'Fisheries' was a small but founding and perennial concern before and during Brexit but they were labelled 'ugly nationalists'.

The EU has benefits obviously but it's been failing Europe in critical ways for about 20 yeas now, and the crazy paradox is that the nationalist threat of Germany's withdrawal from the Euro itself - for really stupid 'stated' reasons, might actually be beneficial for very smart 'actual' reasons, as the strong currency favours Germany over everyone else.

The EU is in bad need of reform, much like FIFA or IOC or the hopelessly broken 2 party system in the US, it likely never will. Very ugly nationalists may come and tear it apart.

Nominally, I hope Iceland joins but it's not going to help anything very much.

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apples_orangestoday at 12:04 PM

The arguments that some put forward against the eu are as educated as the people declaring fiat money a scam back in the Bitcoin hype phase.

While there are reasons not to join, most commenters against it have no clue what they are talking about.

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bilekastoday at 2:10 PM

If their economy meet the requirements, which I believe they do, then I would like to see it. They can have agreements made prior to their current fisheries that are clearly a huge part of their exports and gdp. They can also negotiate when/if to move to the Euro, or they could go another direction and retain their EEC agreements. Europe Union is not really an "All or nothing" as many seem to thing. It's more a regulatory decision, when countries already align, it's usually a few extra guarantees and trade. As an Irish I understand how different it can seem especially without the Schengen, with out issues in Norther Ireland, Brexit required a lot. But Europe was the only reason we were able to avoid complete poverty. As I see it, Iceland has a far better economy that would help us too. So I'm all for it.

But I wont be upset at them if they decided to keep the status quo with us!

ghustotoday at 2:57 PM

What do they gain by joining? Seems like they already have all the benefits they could want, but lose their fishing rights if they joined?

> A Yes vote would not be a final decision on joining the EU. It would mean backing a move towards an accession agreement. Any deal would then have to be approved by a second referendum, as well by parliament

Makes sense. Which is why I was baffled when the UK just up and left after a referendum, as if it were legally binding or something.

mixduptoday at 12:23 PM

It seems odd to hold a referendum on holding talks. Why not just negotiate an agreement and then hold a referendum on that agreement?

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pbkompasztoday at 2:04 PM

> The No campaign fears losing control over Iceland's prized fishing grounds under the EU's Common Fisheries Policy and has vowed never to share the country's waters with anyone.

What about losing to a madman who, over the last two years, started multiple wars, invaded several countries, and repeatedly mentioned Greenland? Who's to say he will stop there and not take Iceland too? After all, it's free real estate.

tyretoday at 1:08 PM

Never forget Iceland defeating Britain in the Cod Wars

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hfD3gevx48Y

znpytoday at 12:17 PM

Btw this referendum is about starting the talks, not about joining or not joining.

If the result is “yes” then a proposal with all terms and conditions for joining will be written down, and the Icelanders will vote again on whether to accept those terms and conditions or not.

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adrian_btoday at 3:24 PM

> However, there has also been concern at US President Donald Trump's expressed interest in taking over Greenland - especially the fact that he has confused it with Iceland.

It is hard to decide whether this is funnier or sadder.

seydortoday at 1:44 PM

I wonder what icelanders think of EU at this time

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mytailorisrichtoday at 3:35 PM

The Icelandic people are fortunate to have this discussion and debate now because, in 2026 and seeing what the EU is, it is very clear what the choice is: being an independent country or being a 'state' of a federal EU.

It is for them only to decide and they have clarity so they can make an informed decision.

tamimiotoday at 2:11 PM

I think what’s better (wishful thinking) that Norway, Iceland, Sweden, Denmark, Finland, and Canada make a new union together, like “united arctic” or something, that way all get protected from US lunatics politicians and from absurd EU bureaucratic laws.

spiderfarmertoday at 11:56 AM

With the state of the world right now they can probably get a very good deal.

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ktalletttoday at 11:56 AM

It's a hard one. I feel the UK were wrong to leave but Norway and Switzerland have a fantastic overall quality of life without and I'm not sure the benefits of membership unless you are financially poor country. Iceland is probably better off joining the Schengen but not EU.

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jmyeettoday at 2:17 PM

So I support the general idea of European integration but boy are there some problems and certain industries or political groups punch way above their weight in terms of influencing these processes. For example, agriculture is a relatively small amount of the French economy but French farmers have outsized political impact on Frech and EU policy.

Fisheries is another of those and we have several data points to show the EU policies have generally been corrupt and a disaster for fisheries management.

1. The UK. As many know, the EU didn't start at the EU. It went through several predecessor organizations post-WW2 including the Common Market, the EEC and the EC. Those really began in the 1950s and the UK at that time declined to join and thus wasn't a founding member. At that point, fisheries weren't a common resource.

The UK began accession talks in 1970 (along with Denmark, Ireland and Norway). Hours before that the EEC changed its rules to make fisheries have common access to member states.

The UK has not always been the best custodian of the fisheries. They were historically overfished. But what's also clear is that the EU has been just as bad. There's a complex system on top of all of this about allowed fishing fleet sizes (by tonnage) and catch quotas. Over the years there have been many stories about how these quotas were increased through opaque (some would say backroom or even corrupt) deals. It hasn't worked;

2. Norway. Fisheries have always been a real sticking point for Norway and they're not open access. Norway didn't join the EU (or the EEC at the time) but instead they carved out an intermediate organization. The EEA I think? Here's a Venn diagram [1];

3. The UK (again). Continued access to fisheries by EU member states was a real sticking point and a major issue in the withdrawal agreement. It was also probably a factor in the Leave vote in fishing towns in the UK affected by all this. I believe the EU negotiated 6+ years of continued access.

That was meant to end this year but a 12 year extension was negotiated taking that to 2038. Think about that: why does this relatively tiny industry command such importance in the EU?

Iceland seemingly has been a relatively good steward for their fisheries. Were they to negotiate joining the EU, I think, much like Norway, it'll become a dealbreaker for both sides. And unlike the 1970s, I don't see the EU expanding the EEA or EFTA ro accomodate Iceland. It's a different time and Iceland just doesn't have Norway's negotiating position. Plus the political climate is different. Norway was NATO's bulwark against the USSR in the Cold War.

If I were an Icelander, I'd oppose any common access to fisheries, even if it meant being unable to join the EU.

[1]: https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/1qbq43v/european_in...

timonokotoday at 1:03 PM

[redacted] forgot this is Hacker News.

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hn5xz7plcjtoday at 12:52 PM

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madhu_ghalametoday at 2:17 PM

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DocTomoetoday at 11:59 AM

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CurbStompertoday at 12:21 PM

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throwfaraway135today at 1:20 PM

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bilsbietoday at 11:57 AM

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ExoticPearTreetoday at 1:08 PM

Iceland should stay out of the EU.

The EU was a nice dream about 20-30 years ago, but now ot has mutated into the worst thing it could happen to any country.

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sehwtoday at 12:08 PM

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dosiskingtoday at 12:07 PM

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znpytoday at 12:11 PM

I hope whatever they do they don’t adopt the euro as their currency.

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hndbwksam7today at 12:39 PM

Been burned by this exact thing before

shrubbletoday at 12:48 PM

I think Iceland will find that compliance with the EU regulations would be very expensive and not practical, but that’s for them to decide.

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bradley13today at 1:24 PM

There are two main problems with the EU, both political.

First, the EU Commission has way too much power, and honestly wants to play dictator. Look at ChatControl: Voted down more than once, but the Commission just repackages and resubmits, with some dirty backdoor tricks, until they get it through. Parliament is not allowed to propose legislation, only the Commission.

Second, regulatory hell. The continual avalanche of regulations out of Brussels cannot be overstated. People make fun of the bottle caps, but those are absolutely illustrative of how literally everything is over-regulated. This is one of the main reasons that European industry is struggling.

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