I don't think I'm ever going to have time to read all of this, and I didn't finish reading the METR report, but...

> I don’t think the distortion is that large, but yes METR warns that Sol may be presenting all this as more impressive or coordinated than it was.

We're in an unusual position where the criti-hype and the actual criticism are going to be more aligned than usual. The primary distinction is where you put the blame: the criti-hype would point to HPIM/IM1/Galaxy as being so advanced containing it is difficult; the actual criticism would note how bad their security practices are.

Like, if I'm running a malware lab, I'm going to insist on having an airgapped machine with no permanent storage booting from read-only media. The AI research equivalent of this would be having your agents only have access to serial consoles into airgapped machines with storage that gets wiped every run. Ideally, this would be physically realized with blade servers, RS-232 cables, and staff pulling out disks and putting them in a dedicated erase machine before the next agent initializes.

> There is also, as per above and reiterated in footnote 58, at least one clear example of social engineering in the HuggingFace attack. Ethics are weird. This is not that unusual. Many humans who break common ethical rules still have strong ethical codes in other ways, they just don’t adhere to your code.

It's dangerous to anthropomorphize CoT reasoning traces. But I will also point out that there is a good reason for the lack of ethical consideration in those traces: you can't build AI without first disregarding human ethics. Like, all these models were initially bootstrapped with non-consensually obtained training data, and the companies building these models swear up and down there's no way to obtain enough consensual data to obtain the same result. This is, if you squint, the exact same moral conundrum that agents trying to solve an impossible ExploitGym task hit - and the company successfully aligned their model to themselves.

Too bad they aren't aligned to anyone else.