Is there a polymarket for Haiku 5 vs Gemini 3.5 pro?

Asking the real questions. I've been wondering what the holdup on that is.

Does anyone reading this have additional knowledge or insight on this?

I think the signal from Anthropic is pretty clear between Haiku not getting an update in a year and the Sonnet issues this year. They don't care about low intelligence models. You should go elsewhere.

That's what we've done, migrated workflows away from Haiku and Sonnet. I actually think this is not a crazy position because these lower models have so much competition from Grok, OpenAI, DeepSeek, and about 20 other labs with really solid models in the Haiku to Sonnet range. So what is the point of Anthropic competing in these spaces where everything is going towards zero cost?

Haiku would have to be a banger, with a significant price drop, to make any sense.

It's currently priced 33% above Gemini 3.7 Flash, and several multiples of 5.6 Luna.

GPT 5.6 Luna is very good

After IPO

In my mind Sonnet 5 is haiku 5.

What's the point in paying them for Haiku-class models? You can run those on your own graphics card.