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emp17344yesterday at 11:23 PM2 repliesview on HN

Why is Zitron’s repute evaluated entirely on the basis of failed predictions? Predictions are incredibly hard. AI enthusiasts and thought leaders have made so many demonstrably incorrect predictions it’s hard to keep track. Based on this metric, Altman and Amodei should never be taken seriously again.


Replies

aethersontoday at 3:51 AM

What else would his repute be based on? Maybe telling retrospective truth? Per the article, he does terribly by that metric as well.

mvdtnzyesterday at 11:50 PM

Have you ever listened to Zitron speak? He's not exactly the type to hedge his predictions behind careful language about how hard predictions are. He makes every one of these predictions with absolute confidence and conviction.

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