The problem is this entire argument depends on “chain of thought” being a faithful representation of a model’s actual plan. That doesn’t need to be the case. Thinking tokens are just tokens at the end of the day.
Do you know what is a faithful representation of what the model wants to do? Tool calls. I don’t care what’s in the model’s chain of thought, if it wants to execute rm -rf / on my computer that’s an issue.
I agree CoT monitoring is imperfect but it's okay in practice and helps us get defense-in-depth re: model intent. We absolutely do not have a singular safety mechanism in place that's sufficiently good that we can use it in exclusion of all other imperfect ones.
"Do you know what is a faithful representation of what the model wants to do? Tool calls."
tool calls could absolutely be spoofed, my impression is that this happened many times in the OAI HuggingFace attack.