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twobitshiftertoday at 6:38 PM5 repliesview on HN

>The groups varied in size, and the group that produced the Navier–Stokes resolution involved on the order of 10,000 concurrent agents… The agents arrived at their resolution on Saturday, September 5, about 88 hours after the first agents were launched.

The Millenium Prize is $1M, what is the ROI? (Edit: since I was not clear, and confused some - I mean for a hypothetical of a third party paying commercial rates to use AI to solve mathematical challenges and claim prize money, not for scientific value alone or as a promotion of an AI lab’s capabilities)

My napkin math - If you get 33 output tok/s each agent will burn 10.5M tokens over 88 days. At $50/MTok (Astra cost), that is $525 per agent. With 10,000 agents, you’d spend $5,250,000 to get back a million.

(We also know that they were running more groups that varied in size and this model is a generation ahead of astra)


Replies

efavdbtoday at 10:28 PM

I am curious who if anyone will get a reward for this. It would seem unreasonable to give it to the worker who asked the robot to solve it.

mmiyertoday at 6:45 PM

The ROI is billions added to their valuation. Also of course it costs OpenAI much less than API pricing for inference.

8notetoday at 9:45 PM

the ROI of new closed form solutions to navier stokes is the amount of compute used on CFD for relevant situations, along with all kinds of maintenance and design cost for making things with fluids.

the value to the researcher might not be all that big, but the value to the economy at large is gigantic

Squarextoday at 6:44 PM

The ROI is probably billions of increased pre IPO valuation.

IncreasePoststoday at 7:07 PM

This analysis implies the only benefit to resolve this problem is to win the prize. But the prize is only there to indicate that this is viewed as an important problem in mathematics.