Exactly. I am becoming increasingly convinced that this is actually just a part of how intelligence/cognition works.
When we are really thinking about something we do it forwards, backwards and middle out, and regenerate and distill many times.
When we do meta thinking about that process after the fact, two things happen. 1, we change our total “thought” by adding that meta thinking to it. And 2: it’s a very lossy process, because we don’t have very good data about what our brain or mind was actually doing during that first think and emotional factors are nearly always at play and even more complex.
Now for the more complex AI, the fragmented process of multiple agents and loops and reruns are pretty similar to that first think we do. At least structurally. But the meta think is where they differ. They have no emotion, but they also have even worse data about its own function. They constantly degenerate so I would argue their “changing the thought by thinking about it” factor is also generally way higher than ours.
Getting better at consistent/reproducible thinking, with many ‘steps’, that leaves good documentation of that thinking behind for future analysis, has to be one of the more important areas for the big flagships going forward. I’m certain that “what is this fucker doing and why” is the biggest pain point for AI researchers. Or the math, it’s usually the math.
But you’re correct in the general structure; they generally do the same post hoc analysis we do, just noticeably worse because of their opaque nature(even to themselves) and general degenerative instability.
But is it really what we want, machines with the same defects as humans? I don't want a pocket calculator that make mistakes "sometimes" so I have to double-check the results, I want a pocket calculator that works (to those who want to argue that pocket calculators don't give the correct result for (1/3)*3: STFU).