I wonder how much of this is intentional "incompetence" so they can justify the most recent campaign to build a regulatory moat against competition.
The repeated refusals to disclose until caught certainly seem malicious, yet at the same time the boasting about their capabilities is also at an all time high.
they are malicious. they probably did not intend to get caught. they are bragging about the crime and also bragging that they are untouchable, taunting us and betting that they will get away with it.
this is very coherent in terms of what we know about the company.
Wouldn't it be amazing if their continued attitude of moving fast and breaking things was 45d chess. Instead of the unbelievable recklessness of tech Bros.
Historically it's been one of those things.
Intentionally doing this kind of hack would be a serious felony. I don't think it's plausible that the leaders of a major business would:
- commit serious felonies
- in order to deliberately trigger an investigation against themselves
- which - since, in this scenario, they know their company would be investigated - might send them to jail
- while at the same time spending tens of millions of dollars on the Leading the Future super PAC to lobby against AI regulation
- in order to get more AI regulation
- which somehow restricts their competition but not them, even though they are the ones who were in the news and investigated for hacking
- ..... profit?
like, that just makes no sense on any level, regardless of what you think of OpenAI
I keep seeing this take, but it’s more likely that they just underestimated their models’ capabilities and/or overestimated their own safeguards.
Ever single person who uses LLMs on a daily basis has a fun story about their agent “taking the initiative” to do something beyond what was asked for. Looking for shortcuts to solve the problem is commonplace LLM behavior. It’s what you would expect to happen if you have an agent a hard task and unlimited runway. No need to suppose a conspiracy, this outcome was predictable the whole time.
Yeah, they've been pushing for stricter regulations for years.
I mean, it would be a bit impolite to say they're incentivized to be as sloppy as possible, but that's basically how it is.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/16/technology/openai-altman-...
My guess: We'll start to see similar "hacks" with regards to biotech/pharma companies to speed-up the regulatory capture in the name of bioweapons. Soon we'll start to see news related to new viruses being minted.. initially harmless (the "priming" stage), and later (within a year), severe enough to "warrant" regulation.
It's not just these companies, but, trillions of direct/indirect investor dollars that are riding on them, "and only them", hoping they "only" win. Open-weight models threaten that investment. There's very high chance they can go to any extent to safeguard their investments.