> The fundamental problem is simpler: no one will slow down because no one trusts anyone else to slow down.

I would argue that nobody trusts anyone else in the case of AI/AI related stuff.

The amount of money involved in the space is astronomical and incentives are really misaligned. AI is such an extremely polarizing topic.

A meta example of this distrust is that I can't (really) trust Dario Amodei's comments itself! (is he saying this for more future IPO money or out of genuine fear) which was ironically also what your comment's about as well.

By following the same chain of events, we can have wildly polarizing claims about the same event and its explainations.

I seriously have to wonder what historians will have to say about this period of human history.